Maths · Volume 2 · Chapter 11

Samacheer Class 12 Maths - Probability Distributions

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EXERCISE 11.1EXERCISE 11.14 questions
Q.1Suppose X is the number of tails occurred when three fair coins are tossed once simultaneously. Find the values of the random variable X and number of points in its inverse images.v
Solution

Sample space size = 2^3 = 8. Number of outcomes with k tails = C(3,k). Thus values and counts: 0 tails: C(3,0)=1; 1 tail: C(3,1)=3; 2 tails: C(3,2)=3; 3 tails: C(3,3)=1.

Answer:

X ∈ {0,1,2,3}. |X^{-1}(0)|=1, |X^{-1}(1)|=3, |X^{-1}(2)|=3, |X^{-1}(3)|=1.

Q.2An urn contains 5 mangoes and 4 apples. Three fruits are taken at random. If the number of apples taken is a random variable, then find the values of the random variable and number of points in its inverse images.v
Solution

Total ways C(9,3)=84. Number with k apples = C(4,k)·C(5,3−k). Compute: k=0: C(4,0)C(5,3)=1·10=10; k=1: 4·10=40; k=2: 6·5=30; k=3:4·1=4.

Answer:

X ∈ {0,1,2,3}. Counts: 0→10, 1→40, 2→30, 3→4 (total 84).

Q.3Two balls are chosen randomly from an urn containing 6 red and 8 black balls. Suppose that we win `15 for each red ball selected and we lose `10 for each black ball selected. If X denotes the winning amount, find the values of X and number of points in its inverse images.v
Solution

Total ordered/unordered? Using unordered draws: total C(14,2)=91. Number with r red = C(6,r)C(8,2−r). r=2 ⇒ C(6,2)=15 ⇒ win 2·15=30. r=1 ⇒6·8=48 ⇒ 15−10=5. r=0 ⇒C(8,2)=28 ⇒ −20.

Answer:

Possible X: −20, 5, 30. Counts: X=30 (2 red):15 outcomes; X=5 (1 red,1 black):48 outcomes; X=−20 (0 red):28 outcomes (total 91).

Q.4A six sided die is marked '2' on one face, '3' on two of its faces, and '4' on remaining three faces. The die is thrown twice. If X denotes the total score in two throws, find the values of the random variable and number of points in its inverse images.v
Solution

Let multiplicities m(2)=1,m(3)=2,m(4)=3. For ordered throws, count pairs (a,b) by m(a)m(b). Sum=4:2+2 ⇒1·1=1. 5:2+3 or 3+2 ⇒1·2+2·1=4. 6:2+4,3+3,4+2 ⇒1·3+2·2+3·1=10. 7:3+4,4+3 ⇒2·3+3·2=12. 8:4+4 ⇒3·3=9. Total 36.

Answer:

X ∈ {4,5,6,7,8}. Ordered-counts out of 36: 4→1, 5→4, 6→10, 7→12, 8→9.

EXERCISE 11.2EXERCISE 11.27 questions
Q.1Three fair coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability mass function for number of heads occurred.v
Solution

Total 8 equally likely outcomes. Number with k heads = C(3,k) ⇒ probability C(3,k)/8.

Answer:

P(X=k)=C(3,k)/8 for k=0,1,2,3, i.e. 1/8, 3/8, 3/8, 1/8 respectively.

Q.2A six sided die is marked '1' on one face, '3' on two of its faces, and '5' on remaining three faces. The die is thrown twice. If X denotes the total score in two throws, find (i) the probability mass function (ii) the cumulative distribution function (iii) P(0 ≤ X < 4) (iv) P(X ≥ 6). (Interpretation: faces values are 1,3,5 with multiplicities 1,2,3.)v
Solution

Multiplicities m(1)=1,m(3)=2,m(5)=3. Count ordered pairs as m(a)m(b): sum 2:1·1=1; 4:1·2+2·1=4; 6:1·3+2·2+3·1=10; 8:2·3+3·2=12; 10:3·3=9. Probabilities count/36. CDF obtained by cumulative sums. P(X≥6)=1 - P(X≤4) =1 -5/36=31/36.

Answer:

(i) Possible sums 2,4,6,8,10 with probabilities 1/36, 4/36, 10/36, 12/36, 9/36 respectively. (ii) CDF: F(x)=0 (x<2); =1/36 for 2≤x<4; =5/36 for 4≤x<6; =15/36 for 6≤x<8; =27/36 for 8≤x<10; =1 for x≥10. (iii) P(0≤X<4)=P(X=2)=1/36. (iv) P(X≥6)=(10+12+9)/36=31/36.

Q.3Find the probability mass function and cumulative distribution function of number of girl child in families with 4 children, assuming equal probabilities for boys and girls.v
Solution

Binomial(n=4,p=1/2): P(X=k)=C(4,k)(1/2)^4=C(4,k)/16. CDF are cumulative sums of these probabilities.

Answer:

X∈{0,1,2,3,4}, P(X=k)=C(4,k)/16: 1/16,4/16,6/16,4/16,1/16. CDF: F(x)=0 (x<0); 1/16 (0≤x<1); 5/16 (1≤x<2); 11/16 (2≤x<3); 15/16 (3≤x<4); 1 (x≥4).

Q.4Suppose a discrete random variable can only take the values 0, 1, and 2. The probability mass function is defined by f(0)=k, f(1)=1/2, f(2)=1/2−k, for otherwise 0. Find (i) the value (range) of k (ii) cumulative distribution function (iii) P(X ≥ 1).v
Solution

Normalization: k + 1/2 + (1/2 − k)=1, so any k satisfying nonnegativity: k≥0 and 1/2−k≥0 ⇒ 0≤k≤1/2. CDF from cumulative sums. P(X≥1)=P(1)+P(2)=1−P(0)=1−k.

Answer:

(i) 0 ≤ k ≤ 1/2. (ii) F(x)=0 for x<0; =k for 0≤x<1; =k+1/2 for 1≤x<2; =1 for x≥2. (iii) P(X≥1)=1−k.

Q.5The cumulative distribution function of a discrete random variable is F(x)=0 for x<0; F(x)=0.15 for 0≤x<1; F(x)=0.35 for 1≤x<2; F(x)=0.60 for 2≤x<3; F(x)=0.85 for 3≤x<4; F(x)=1 for x≥4. Find (i) the probability mass function p(0),…,p(4) (ii) P(X<3) (iii) P(X≥2).v
Solution

Probabilities are jumps of F: p(k)=F(k)−F(k−). Compute p(0)=0.15, p(1)=0.35−0.15=0.20, p(2)=0.60−0.35=0.25, p(3)=0.85−0.60=0.25, p(4)=1−0.85=0.15. Then P(X<3)=F(2)=0.60; P(X≥2)=1−F(1)=0.65.

Answer:

(i) p(0)=0.15, p(1)=0.20, p(2)=0.25, p(3)=0.25, p(4)=0.15. (ii) P(X<3)=F(2)=0.60. (iii) P(X≥2)=1−F(1)=1−0.35=0.65.

Q.6A random variable X has the following probability mass function: x=1,2,3,4,5 with f(1)=k/2, f(2)=2k/3, f(3)=2k, f(4)=3k/2, f(5)=k/3. Find (i) k (ii) P(X ≤ 2.5) (iii) P(X < 3).v
Solution

Sum f = k(1/2 + 2/3 + 2 + 3/2 + 1/3) = k(30/6)=5k ⇒5k=1 ⇒k=1/5. Then P(1)=1/10, P(2)=2/15. So P(X≤2)=1/10+2/15=(3+4)/30=7/30. P(X<3) is same.

Answer:

(i) k=1/5. (ii) P(X≤2.5)=P(1)+P(2)=7/30. (iii) P(X<3)=P(1)+P(2)=7/30.

Q.7The cumulative distribution function of a discrete random variable is F(x)=0 for x<0; F=0.2 for 0≤x<1; F=0.5 for 1≤x<2; F=0.75 for 2≤x<3; F=1 for x≥3. Find (i) the probability mass function (ii) P(X<3) (iii) P(X≥2).v
Solution

p(k)=jump at k: p(0)=0.2; p(1)=0.5−0.2=0.3; p(2)=0.75−0.5=0.25; p(3)=1−0.75=0.25. Then P(X<3)=0.75 and P(X≥2)=1−F(1)=0.5.

Answer:

(i) p(0)=0.2, p(1)=0.3, p(2)=0.25, p(3)=0.25. (ii) P(X<3)=F(2)=0.75. (iii) P(X≥2)=1−F(1)=1−0.5=0.5.

EXERCISE 11.3EXERCISE 11.36 questions
Q.1The probability density function of X is given by f(x)=k x e^{-x}, x>0 (0 otherwise). Find the value of k.v
Solution

Normalization: ∫_0^∞ k x e^{-x} dx = k·Γ(2) = k·1! = k = 1 ⇒ k=1.

Answer:

k = 1.

Q.2The probability density function of X is f(x)=x/2 for 0≤x≤2, 0 otherwise. Find (i) P(0.2 ≤ X ≤ 0.6) (ii) P(1.2 ≤ X ≤ 1.8) (iii) P(0.5 ≤ X ≤ 1.5).v
Solution

P(a≤X≤b)=∫_a^b (x/2) dx = (1/4)(b^2−a^2). (i) (1/4)(0.36−0.04)=0.08. (ii) (1/4)(3.24−1.44)=0.45. (iii) (1/4)(2.25−0.25)=0.50.

Answer:

(i) 0.08. (ii) 0.45. (iii) 0.50.

Q.3Suppose the amount of milk sold daily at a milk booth is distributed with a minimum of 200 litres and a maximum of 600 litres with probability density function f(x)=k x for 200≤x≤600 (0 otherwise). Find (i) k (ii) the distribution function (iii) P(300≤X≤500).v
Solution

Normalize: ∫_{200}^{600} k x dx = k/2(600^2−200^2)=1 ⇒ k = 2/(360000−40000)=1/160000. Then F(x)=∫_{200}^x k t dt = k/2(x^2−200^2). P(300≤X≤500)=F(500)−F(300)=k/2(500^2−300^2)=k·80000=(1/160000)·80000=1/2.

Answer:

(i) k=1/160000. (ii) For x<200:0. For 200≤x≤600: F(x)=k/2 (x^2−200^2). For x>600:1. (iii) P(300≤X≤500)=0.5.

Q.4The probability density function of X is given by f(x)=k x^3 e^{-x} for x>0 (0 otherwise). Find (i) k (ii) the distribution function (iii) P(X<3) (iv) P(X≤5) (v) P(X≤4).v
Solution

∫_0^∞ x^3 e^{-x} dx = Γ(4)=3! =6, so k·6=1 ⇒ k=1/6. The pdf is Gamma(α=4,β=1). CDF for integer shape 4: F(x)=1−e^{-x}(1 + x + x^2/2 + x^3/6). Evaluate numerically: (iii) at x=3: 1−13 e^{−3}≈0.3528. (iv) at x=5: 1−(1+5+12.5+20.8333)e^{−5}≈0.7348. (v) at x=4: 1−(1+4+8+10.6667)e^{−4}≈0.5665.

Answer:

(i) k=1/6. (ii) F(x)=1−e^{-x}(1+x+x^2/2+x^3/6) for x>0. (iii) P(X<3)=1−13e^{-3}≈0.3528. (iv) P(X≤5)=1−39.3333 e^{-5}≈0.7348. (v) P(X≤4)=1−23.6667 e^{-4}≈0.5665.

Q.5If X has pdf f(x)=1+x for −1<x<0 and f(x)=1−x for 0≤x<1 (0 otherwise), find (i) the distribution function F(x) (ii) P(−0.3 ≤ X ≤ 0.6).v
Solution

Integrate pdf. For −1≤x<0: F(x)=∫_{−1}^x (1+t)dt = x + x^2/2 +1/2. For 0≤x<1: F(x)=F(0)+∫_0^x (1−t)dt =1/2 + x − x^2/2. Then P=F(0.6)−F(−0.3)= (0.5+0.6−0.18) − (−0.3+0.045+0.5)=0.92−0.245=0.675.

Answer:

(i) F(x)=0 (x<−1); F(x)=x + x^2/2 + 1/2 for −1≤x<0; F(x)=1/2 + x − x^2/2 for 0≤x<1; F(x)=1 (x≥1). (ii) P(−0.3≤X≤0.6)=0.675.

Q.6If $X$ is a random variable with distribution function $F(x)=0$ for $x<0$, $F(x)=\dfrac{x^2+x}{2}$ for $0\le x<1$, and $F(x)=1$ for $x\ge1$, find (i) the probability density function $f(x)$ and (ii) $P(0.3\le X\le0.6)$.v
Solution

On $0

Answer:

(i) $f(x)=x+\dfrac12,\ 0

EXERCISE 11.4EXERCISE 11.47 questions
Q.1For the random variable $X$ with the given probability mass function or probability density function as below, find the mean and variance: (i) $f(x)=\frac{1}{10}$ for $x=2,5$ and $f(x)=\frac{1}{5}$ for $x=0,1,3,4$; (ii) $f(x)=\frac{4-x}{6}$ for $x=1,2,3$; (iii) $f(x)=2(x-1)$ for $1<x<2$ and $0$ otherwise; (iv) $f(x)=\frac12e^{-x/2}$ for $x>0$ and $0$ otherwise.v
Solution

(i) The probabilities are $P(0)=P(1)=P(3)=P(4)=\frac15$ and $P(2)=P(5)=\frac1{10}$. Hence $E(X)=0\cdot\frac15+1\cdot\frac15+2\cdot\frac1{10}+3\cdot\frac15+4\cdot\frac15+5\cdot\frac1{10}=\frac{23}{10}$. Also $E(X^2)=0+\frac15+\frac4{10}+\frac9{5}+\frac{16}{5}+\frac{25}{10}=\frac{81}{10}$, so $\mathrm{Var}(X)=\frac{81}{10}-\left(\frac{23}{10}\right)^2=\frac{281}{100}$.

(ii) Here $P(1)=\frac12$, $P(2)=\frac13$, $P(3)=\frac16$. Thus $E(X)=1\cdot\frac12+2\cdot\frac13+3\cdot\frac16=\frac53$ and $E(X^2)=\frac12+\frac43+\frac{9}{6}=\frac{10}{3}$. Therefore $\mathrm{Var}(X)=\frac{10}{3}-\left(\frac53\right)^2=\frac59$.

(iii) $E(X)=\int_1^2 x\,2(x-1)\,dx=\frac53$ and $E(X^2)=\int_1^2 x^2\,2(x-1)\,dx=\frac{17}{6}$. Hence $\mathrm{Var}(X)=\frac{17}{6}-\left(\frac53\right)^2=\frac1{18}$.

(iv) This is an exponential distribution with rate $\lambda=\frac12$. Therefore $E(X)=\frac1\lambda=2$ and $\mathrm{Var}(X)=\frac1{\lambda^2}=4$.

Answer:

(i) mean $=\frac{23}{10}$, variance $=\frac{281}{100}$. (ii) mean $=\frac53$, variance $=\frac59$. (iii) mean $=\frac53$, variance $=\frac1{18}$. (iv) mean $=2$, variance $=4$.

Q.2Two balls are drawn in succession without replacement from an urn containing four red balls and three black balls. Let X be the possible outcomes drawing red balls. Find the probability mass function and mean for X.v
Solution

Total C(7,2)=21 unordered draws. P(2 reds)=C(4,2)/21=6/21=2/7. P(1 red)=C(4,1)C(3,1)/21=12/21=4/7. P(0)=C(3,2)/21=3/21=1/7. E(X)=0·1/7+1·4/7+2·2/7=(4+4)/7=8/7.

Answer:

X∈{0,1,2}. P(0)=1/7, P(1)=4/7, P(2)=2/7. Mean μ=E(X)=8/7 ≈1.1429.

Q.3If $\mu$ and $\sigma^2$ are the mean and variance of the discrete random variable $X$, and $E(X+3)=10$ and $E\big((X+3)^2\big)=116$, find $\mu$ and $\sigma^2$.v
Solution

$E(X+3)=E(X)+3=10\Rightarrow E(X)=7$, so $\mu=7$. Variance is unaffected by a shift: $\mathrm{Var}(X)=\mathrm{Var}(X+3)=E\big((X+3)^2\big)-\big(E(X+3)\big)^2=116-10^2=16$. Hence $\sigma^2=16$.

Answer:

$\mu=7,\ \sigma^2=16$.

Q.4Four fair coins are tossed once. Find the probability mass function, mean and variance for number of heads occurred.v
Solution

Let X be number of heads. X ~ Binomial(n=4,p=1/2). So P(X=k)=C(4,k)(1/2)^k(1/2)^{4-k}=C(4,k)/16 for k=0,...,4. Mean: E[X]=np=4*(1/2)=2. Variance: Var(X)=np(1-p)=4*(1/2)*(1/2)=1.

Answer:

P(X=k)=C(4,k)/16, k=0,1,2,3,4; mean = 2; variance = 1.

Q.5A commuter train arrives punctually at a station every half hour. Each morning, a student leaves his house to the train station. Let X denote the amount of time, in minutes, that the student waits for the train from the time he reaches the train station. It is known that the pdf of X is f(x)=1/30 for 0<x<30, 0 elsewhere. Obtain and interpret the expected value of X.v
Solution

X ~ Uniform(0,30) with pdf f(x)=1/30 on (0,30). E[X]= (0+30)/2 =15 minutes. Interpretation: if the arrival time of the student is uniform relative to the train schedule, the expected wait is the midpoint of the interval, 15 min.

Answer:

E[X]=15 minutes. Interpretation: average waiting time is 15 minutes.

Q.6The time to failure in thousands of hours of an electronic equipment used in a manufactured computer has the density function f(x)=3 e^{-3x} for x>0, 0 elsewhere. Find the expected life of this electronic equipment.v
Solution

This is an exponential distribution with rate λ=3. For Exp(λ), E[X]=1/λ =1/3 (thousands of hours). Converting: 1/3×1000 = 1000/3 ≈ 333.33 hours.

Answer:

E[X]=1/3 thousand hours = 1000/3 hours ≈ 333.33 hours.

Q.7The probability density function of the random variable $X$ is $f(x)=\dfrac{1}{16}\,x\,e^{-x/4}$ for $x>0$ (and $0$ otherwise). Find the mean and variance of $X$.v
Solution

This is a Gamma density with shape $k=2$ and scale $\theta=4$, since $\dfrac{1}{\Gamma(2)\,4^2}=\dfrac1{16}$. For $\mathrm{Gamma}(k,\theta)$: $E[X]=k\theta=2\cdot4=8$ and $\mathrm{Var}(X)=k\theta^2=2\cdot16=32$. (Directly: $E[X]=\frac1{16}\int_0^{\infty}x^2 e^{-x/4}dx=\frac1{16}\cdot2!\cdot4^3=8$; $E[X^2]=\frac1{16}\cdot3!\cdot4^4=96$, so $\mathrm{Var}=96-64=32$.)

Answer:

Mean $=8$, Variance $=32$.

EXERCISE 11.5EXERCISE 11.59 questions
Q.1For a binomial distribution $B(n,p)$, compute $P(X=k)$ for (i) $n=6,\ p=\tfrac13,\ k=3$; (ii) $n=10,\ p=\tfrac15,\ k=4$; (iii) $n=9,\ p=\tfrac12,\ k=7$.v
Solution

$P(X=k)=\binom nk p^k(1-p)^{n-k}$. (i) $\binom63\left(\tfrac13\right)^3\left(\tfrac23\right)^3=20\cdot\dfrac{8}{729}=\dfrac{160}{729}$. (ii) $\binom{10}{4}\left(\tfrac15\right)^4\left(\tfrac45\right)^6=210\cdot\dfrac{4096}{9765625}=\dfrac{860160}{9765625}$. (iii) $\binom97\left(\tfrac12\right)^9=\dfrac{36}{512}=\dfrac{9}{128}$.

Answer:

(i) $\dfrac{160}{729}\approx0.220$ (ii) $\dfrac{860160}{9765625}\approx0.088$ (iii) $\dfrac{9}{128}\approx0.070$

Q.2The probability that Mr. Q hits a target at any trial is $\tfrac14$. He tries $10$ times. Find the probability that he hits the target (i) exactly $4$ times (ii) at least once.v
Solution

$X\sim B\!\left(10,\tfrac14\right)$. (i) $P(X=4)=\binom{10}{4}\left(\tfrac14\right)^4\left(\tfrac34\right)^6=210\cdot\dfrac{729}{1048576}\approx0.146$. (ii) $P(X\ge1)=1-P(X=0)=1-\left(\tfrac34\right)^{10}\approx0.944$.

Answer:

(i) $\approx0.146$ (ii) $1-\left(\tfrac34\right)^{10}\approx0.944$

Q.3Find the mean and variance of $X$ where (i) a fair coin is tossed $100$ times and $X$ is the number of heads; (ii) a fair die is tossed $240$ times and $X$ is the number of times a $4$ appears.v
Solution

For $B(n,p)$: mean $=np$, variance $=npq$. (i) $n=100,\ p=\tfrac12$: mean $=50$, variance $=100\cdot\tfrac12\cdot\tfrac12=25$. (ii) $n=240,\ p=\tfrac16$: mean $=40$, variance $=240\cdot\tfrac16\cdot\tfrac56=\dfrac{100}{3}\approx33.33$.

Answer:

(i) mean $=50$, variance $=25$. (ii) mean $=40$, variance $=\dfrac{100}{3}\approx33.33$.

Q.4The probability that a certain kind of component survives an electrical test is $\tfrac34$. Find the probability that exactly $3$ of the $5$ components tested survive.v
Solution

$X\sim B\!\left(5,\tfrac34\right)$. $P(X=3)=\binom53\left(\tfrac34\right)^3\left(\tfrac14\right)^2=10\cdot\dfrac{27}{64}\cdot\dfrac1{16}=\dfrac{135}{512}\approx0.264$.

Answer:

$P(X=3)=\dfrac{135}{512}\approx0.264$

Q.5The defect rate of an electronic device is $5\%$. A random sample of $10$ is taken. Find the probability that (i) at least one is defective (ii) exactly two are defective.v
Solution

$X\sim B(10,0.05)$. (i) $P(X\ge1)=1-(0.95)^{10}\approx1-0.5987=0.4013$. (ii) $P(X=2)=\binom{10}{2}(0.05)^2(0.95)^8=45\cdot0.0025\cdot0.6634\approx0.0746$.

Answer:

(i) $1-(0.95)^{10}\approx0.401$ (ii) $\approx0.075$

Q.6If the probability that a fluorescent light has a useful life of at least $600$ hours is $0.9$, find the probability that among $12$ such lights (i) exactly $10$ (ii) at least $11$ (iii) at least $2$ will not have a useful life of at least $600$ hours.v
Solution

Let $X\sim B(12,0.9)$ count the lights lasting $\ge600$h. (i) $P(X=10)=\binom{12}{10}(0.9)^{10}(0.1)^2=66\cdot0.3487\cdot0.01\approx0.230$. (ii) $P(X\ge11)=\binom{12}{11}(0.9)^{11}(0.1)+(0.9)^{12}\approx0.377+0.282=0.659$. (iii) Let $Y\sim B(12,0.1)$ count the failures; $P(Y\ge2)=1-(0.9)^{12}-\binom{12}{1}(0.1)(0.9)^{11}\approx1-0.282-0.377=0.341$.

Answer:

(i) $\approx0.230$ (ii) $\approx0.659$ (iii) $\approx0.341$

Q.7A binomial distribution has mean $6$ and standard deviation $2$. Find the distribution.v
Solution

$np=6$ and $npq=2^2=4$, so $q=\dfrac{npq}{np}=\dfrac46=\dfrac23$, hence $p=\dfrac13$ and $n=\dfrac{6}{1/3}=18$. Thus $X\sim B\!\left(18,\tfrac13\right)$ with $P(X=x)=\binom{18}{x}\left(\tfrac13\right)^x\left(\tfrac23\right)^{18-x}$.

Answer:

$n=18,\ p=\dfrac13,\ q=\dfrac23$; $X\sim B\!\left(18,\tfrac13\right)$.

Q.8For a binomial variable $X$ with $n=6$ it is given that $4\,P(X=4)=P(X=2)$. Find the distribution, its mean and variance.v
Solution

$4\binom64 p^4q^2=\binom62 p^2q^4$. Since $\binom64=\binom62=15$, this gives $4p^2=q^2$, so $2p=q=1-p$, hence $p=\dfrac13,\ q=\dfrac23$. Mean $=np=6\cdot\tfrac13=2$; variance $=npq=6\cdot\tfrac13\cdot\tfrac23=\dfrac43$.

Answer:

$p=\dfrac13,\ q=\dfrac23$; mean $=2$, variance $=\dfrac43$.

Q.9For a binomial distribution with $n=5$, $P(X=1)=0.4096$ and $P(X=2)=0.2048$. Find $p$, the mean and the variance.v
Solution

$\dfrac{P(X=2)}{P(X=1)}=\dfrac{\binom52}{\binom51}\cdot\dfrac pq=2\cdot\dfrac pq=\dfrac{0.2048}{0.4096}=\dfrac12$, so $\dfrac pq=\dfrac14$, i.e. $4p=q=1-p$, giving $p=\dfrac15,\ q=\dfrac45$. Mean $=np=5\cdot\tfrac15=1$; variance $=npq=5\cdot\tfrac15\cdot\tfrac45=\dfrac45$.

Answer:

$p=\dfrac15,\ q=\dfrac45$; mean $=1$, variance $=\dfrac45$.

Choose the CorrectChoose the Correct20 questions
Q.1 Let $X$ be a random variable with probability density function $f(x)=\dfrac{2}{x^3}$ for $x\ge1$ and $0$ otherwise. Which of the following statements is correct?
Answer: Option 2

$E[X]=\int_1^\infty x\cdot\dfrac{2}{x^3}\,dx=\int_1^\infty\dfrac{2}{x^2}\,dx=2$ (finite). But $E[X^2]=\int_1^\infty x^2\cdot\dfrac{2}{x^3}\,dx=\int_1^\infty\dfrac{2}{x}\,dx$ diverges, so the variance does not exist. Hence the mean exists but the variance does not.

Q.2 A rod of length $2l$ is broken into two pieces at random. The probability density function of the shorter piece is $f(x)=\dfrac1l$ for $0
Answer: Option 4

$E[X]=\int_0^l\dfrac{x}{l}\,dx=\dfrac l2$ and $E[X^2]=\int_0^l\dfrac{x^2}{l}\,dx=\dfrac{l^2}{3}$. So $\mathrm{Var}(X)=\dfrac{l^2}{3}-\dfrac{l^2}{4}=\dfrac{l^2}{12}$.

Q.3 In a game a player tosses a fair six-sided die. If the face $6$ comes up the player wins ₹$36$; otherwise he loses ₹$k^2$, where $k\in\{1,2,3,4,5\}$ is the face shown. The expected amount (in ₹) to win at this game is
Answer: Option 2

$E=\dfrac16(36)+\dfrac16\big(-(1^2+2^2+3^2+4^2+5^2)\big)=6-\dfrac{55}{6}=-\dfrac{19}{6}$.

Q.4 A six-sided die numbered $1,2,3,4,5,6$ and a four-sided die numbered $1,2,3,4$ are rolled and the sum is determined. Let $X$ denote this sum. The number of elements in the inverse image of $7$ is
Answer: Option 4

$X=7$ arises from $(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)$ — four ordered outcomes. So the inverse image of $7$ has $4$ elements.

Q.5 A random variable $X$ has a binomial distribution with $n=25$ and $p=0.8$. Then the standard deviation of $X$ is
Answer: Option 4

$\sigma=\sqrt{npq}=\sqrt{25\times0.8\times0.2}=\sqrt4=2$.

Q.6 Let $X$ represent the difference between the number of heads and the number of tails obtained when a coin is tossed $n$ times. Then the possible values of $X$ are
Answer: Option 2

If $i$ heads occur then there are $n-i$ tails, so $X=i-(n-i)=2i-n$ for $i=0,1,\dots,n$.

Q.7 If $f(x)=\dfrac1{12}$ for $a
Answer: Option 4

For a uniform density, $\int_a^b\dfrac1{12}\,dx=\dfrac{b-a}{12}=1$, so $b-a=12$. The pairs $(0,12),(5,17),(7,19)$ all differ by $12$, but $24-16=8\ne12$. So $16$ and $24$ cannot be the values.

Q.8 Four buses carry $42,36,34$ and $48$ students respectively ($160$ in all). A student is selected at random; let $X$ be the number of students on that student’s bus. A bus driver is selected at random; let $Y$ be the number of students on that bus. Then $E(X)$ and $E(Y)$ respectively are
Answer: Option 3

$E(X)=\sum\dfrac{n_i}{160}\,n_i=\dfrac{42^2+36^2+34^2+48^2}{160}=\dfrac{6520}{160}=40.75$, while $E(Y)=\dfrac{42+36+34+48}{4}=\dfrac{160}{4}=40$.

Q.9Two coins are flipped independently. The first lands heads with probability $0.6$ and the second with probability $0.5$. Let $X$ be the total number of heads. Find $E(X)$.v
Solution

Write $X=X_1+X_2$, where $X_1,X_2$ are the Bernoulli indicators for the two coins. By linearity of expectation, $E(X)=E(X_1)+E(X_2)=0.6+0.5=1.1$.

Answer:

$E(X)=1.1$

Q.10 On a multiple-choice exam with $3$ choices for each of the $5$ questions, the probability that a student gets $4$ or more correct just by guessing is
Answer: Option 1

Guessing gives $p=\dfrac13$, $n=5$. $P(X\ge4)=\binom54\left(\dfrac13\right)^4\dfrac23+\left(\dfrac13\right)^5=\dfrac{10}{243}+\dfrac1{243}=\dfrac{11}{243}$.

Q.11 If $P(X=0)=1-P(X=1)$ and $E(X)=3\,\mathrm{Var}(X)$, then $P(X=0)$ is
Answer: Option 4

Let $P(X=1)=p$, so $P(X=0)=1-p$ and $X$ takes only the values $0,1$. Then $E(X)=p$ and $\mathrm{Var}(X)=p(1-p)$. From $p=3p(1-p)$ we get $1=3(1-p)$, so $p=\dfrac23$ and $P(X=0)=\dfrac13$.

Q.12If $X$ is a binomial random variable with expected value $6$ and variance $2.4$, find $P(X=5)$.v
Solution

$np=6$ and $npq=2.4$ give $q=\dfrac{2.4}{6}=0.4$, so $p=0.6$ and $n=\dfrac{6}{0.6}=10$. Hence $P(X=5)=\binom{10}{5}(0.6)^5(0.4)^5=252\times(0.6)^5(0.4)^5\approx0.2007$.

Answer:

$P(X=5)=\dbinom{10}{5}(0.6)^5(0.4)^5\approx0.2007$

Q.13 The random variable $X$ has probability density function $f(x)=ax+b$ for $0
Answer: Option 1

$\int_0^1(ax+b)\,dx=\dfrac a2+b=1$ and $E(X)=\int_0^1 x(ax+b)\,dx=\dfrac a3+\dfrac b2=\dfrac7{12}$. Solving these gives $a=1$ and $b=\dfrac12$.

Q.14 Suppose $X$ takes one of the values $0,1,2$. If for some constant $k$, $P(X=i)=k\,P(X=i-1)$ for $i=1,2$ and $P(X=0)=\dfrac17$, then the value of $k$ is
Answer: Option 2

$P(0)=\dfrac17,\ P(1)=\dfrac k7,\ P(2)=\dfrac{k^2}7$. Summing to $1$: $\dfrac{1+k+k^2}{7}=1\Rightarrow k^2+k-6=0\Rightarrow(k-2)(k+3)=0$. The positive root gives $k=2$.

Q.15 Which of the following is a discrete random variable? I. The number of cars crossing a particular signal in a day. II. The number of customers in a queue to buy train tickets at a moment. III. The time taken to complete a telephone call.
Answer: Option 1

Counts (I and II) take isolated whole-number values, so they are discrete. A time duration (III) varies continuously, so it is not discrete. Hence I and II.

Q.16 If $f(x)=2x$ for $0\le x\le a$ (and $0$ otherwise) is a probability density function of a random variable, then the value of $a$ is
Answer: Option 1

$\int_0^a 2x\,dx=a^2=1$, so $a=1$.

Q.17 The probability mass function of a random variable is $f(-2)=k,\ f(-1)=2k,\ f(0)=3k,\ f(1)=4k,\ f(2)=5k$. Then $E(X)$ is equal to
Answer: Option 4

$\sum f=15k=1\Rightarrow k=\dfrac1{15}$. $E(X)=(-2)k+(-1)2k+0+1\cdot4k+2\cdot5k=10k=\dfrac{10}{15}=\dfrac23$.

Q.18 Let $X$ have a Bernoulli distribution with mean $0.4$. Then the variance of $2X-3$ is
Answer: Option 4

$p=0.4$, so $\mathrm{Var}(X)=pq=0.4\times0.6=0.24$. Then $\mathrm{Var}(2X-3)=2^2\,\mathrm{Var}(X)=4\times0.24=0.96$.

Q.19 If in $6$ trials $X$ is a binomial variable satisfying $9\,P(X=4)=P(X=2)$, then the probability of success is
Answer: Option 2

$9\binom64 p^4q^2=\binom62 p^2q^4$. Since $\binom64=\binom62=15$, this gives $9p^2=q^2$, so $3p=q=1-p$, hence $4p=1$ and $p=0.25$.

Q.20 A salesperson sells a computer to $1$ in every $20$ customers who enter the showroom. The probability that he sells a computer to exactly two of the next three customers is
Answer: Option 1

$p=\dfrac1{20}$, $n=3$. $P(X=2)=\binom32\left(\dfrac1{20}\right)^2\left(\dfrac{19}{20}\right)=3\cdot\dfrac{19}{20^3}=\dfrac{57}{20^3}$.